Education

BA Economics

Durham (1988)

PhD Economics

Durham (1997)

Publications

Analysing the climate sensitivity of the HadSM3 climate model using ensembles from different but related experiments (2009)
J.C. Rougier, D.M.H. Sexton, J.M. Murphy, and D. Stainforth
Journal of Climate vol: 22 , Pages: 3540 - 3557
DOI: DOI:10.1175/2008JCLI2533.1

Expert Knowledge and Multivariate Emulation: The Thermosphere-Ionosphere Electrodynamics General Circulation Model (TIE-GCM) (2009)
J.C. Rougier, S. Guillas, A. Maute, A.D. Richmond
Technometrics vol: 51 , Pages: 414 - 424
DOI: doi:10.1198/TECH.2009.07123

Full list of publications

Research Interests

Model-based inference for complex systems: combining observational data, evaluations of models, and expert judgements.

How do we quantify notions of model-imperfection? How do we combine information from several different models of the same system? How do we accommodate very long model-evaluation times?

My main application area is climate prediction, notably in response to transient forcing from greenhouse gas emissions. An important strand is promoting an understanding of uncertainty and probability in science and public policy.

Research Themes

• Bayesian Modelling & Analysis